Ιmperial College London:Coronavirus pandemic could have caused 40 million deaths if left unchecked

Coronavirus pandemic could have caused 40 million deaths if left unchecked

by Dr Sabine L. van Elsland, Ryan O'Hare26 March 2020

The outbreak of COVID-19 would likely have caused 40 million deaths this year in the absence of any preventative measures.

This is one of the findings of a new analysis by researchers at Imperial College London, which estimated the potential scale of the coronavirus pandemic across the globe, highlighting that failure to mitigate the impact could lead to huge loss of life.

The report is the twelfth to be released by The WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling within the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis (GIDA), Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA).

Researchers included a number of scenarios, such as what would have happened if the world had not reacted to COVID-19 (the “unmitigated scenario”). They also included two scenarios incorporating social distancing, which result in a single-peaked epidemic (“mitigated scenarios”), and several scenarios for suppressing the spread of the disease that can have the largest overall impact in terms of reducing disease and deaths. ...

"...Στην τελευταία έκθεση, η ομάδα δείχνει ότι η ταχεία υιοθέτηση αποδεδειγμένων μέτρων δημόσιας υγείας - συμπεριλαμβανομένης της δοκιμής και της απομόνωσης των περιπτώσεων και της ευρύτερης κοινωνικής αποστασιοποίησης για την πρόληψη της περαιτέρω διαβίβασης - είναι κρίσιμης σημασίας για τον περιορισμό των επιπτώσεων της πανδημίας...."

"..Η ενεργή δράση έχει την δύναμη να μειώσει τη θνησιμότητα κατά 95 τοις εκατό, εξοικονομώντας 38.7 εκατομμύρια ζωές..."

Read more:  https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196496/coronavirus-pandemic-could-have-caused-40/