Think Tank Review - April 2023

 

Library blog Friday 28 April 2023

● General Secretariat of the Council   Think Tank Review - April 2023   Key topics expected to be discussed during the upcoming Belgian EU Council presidency; the European Parliament initiative for the EU treaties revision; assessing the stability of the eurozone; the electricity market reform; the state of affairs regarding BRICS and SCO; a more geopolitical Europe; and US-China on a collision course are some of the issues dealt with in the April Think Tank Review.

Think Tank Review - April 2023

• 28 April 2023
 
• Think Tank Review
 
• gsclibrary

EU politics and institutions

Ahead of the Belgian EU Council presidency starting in January 2024, papers anticipate some topics that could be placed high on the EU agenda such as energy supply, if the war in Ukraine continues; economic governance, linked to the implementation of ‘Next Generation EU’; governance of the Euro area, and further progress on the green deal. As the European Parliament has used its powers to trigger a revision of the EU treaties, papers explain that the heads of government need the assistance of a reflection group to prepare for a new Convention. Think tanks consider that the handling of the 2020 Covid19 crisis provides valuable insights about how the EU functions and its governance; it is in many ways a textbook example of what the EU can do and how it does it.

Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations

• Preparing for Belgium’s thirteenth presidency of the Council of the European Union

European Policy Centre

• Raising the stakes on constitutional reform: the European Parliament triggers treaty change

Fondation Robert Schuman

• The rule of law: the uncertain gamble on conditionality

Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations

• The management of the Covid crisis in 2020: a case study on EU governance

Centre for European Policy Studies

• The EU accession prospects of Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia: first responses to the conditions set by the European Commission

Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln

• Europe must take the next step: plan Delors 2.0

EU policies

Reports look at how EU fiscal rules may be reformed based on a number of guiding principles such as the sustainability of public finances across member states, and the role of fiscal rules in Europe’s public investment challenges in the coming years. Assessing the stability of the eurozone, studies address the two fundamental questions of whether the eurozone lived up to its expectations and what some of the basic scenarios are for the euro in the foreseeable future. Reports analyse the possible scope and the technical and legal difficulties in implementing a permanent Next Generation EU without ever losing sight of the democratic requirement; they also compare the EU and USA economy in terms of labour-market impacts. Exploring the impact from the Russian gas squeeze on the EU’s greenhouse gas reduction efforts, papers suggest that the energy crisis did not result in a rise in emissions in 2022. Given that the electricity market reform is a central political issue in 2023, briefs comment on EU efforts to mitigate consumers' record energy costs, as electricity market design is one of the EU’s main instruments for an efficient transition to a climate-neutral energy system, reliant on clean electricity.

Competitiveness (Internal Market, Industry, Research and Space)

European Centre for International Political Economy

• In support of market-driven standards

Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich

• Globalne starcie o elektromobilność zagrożeniem dla Europy Środkowej?

European Policy Centre

• Quantum technologies and value chains: why and how Europe must act now

Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques

• Que faut-il retenir du European critical raw materials act ?

Fondation pour l'innovation politique

• Souveraineté, maîtrise industrielle et transition énergétique: les conditions de réussite du programme nucléaire français de 1945 à 1975

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik

• The EU and the negotiations for a binding treaty on business and human rights: multilateral cooperation for strengthening the EU’s strategic autonomy in supply chains

Economic and Financial Affairs

Foundation for European Progressive Studies / Think-tank for Action on Social Change

• EU fiscal rules: time for a reboot

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel

• ECB stepping on the brake(s): monetary tightening in an abundant reserve system

Centre for European Policy Studies / Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• Scenarios for the Eurozone: a realistic perspective between hopes and fears

Centre for European Policy Studies

• Unleashing retail investors’ potential: the key ingredient for enhancing the EU's investment funds and capital markets

CASE - Centrum Analiz Społeczno-Ekonomicznych

• Anti-fragmentation: an incomplete diagnosis and wrong solution

Österreichische Gesellschaft für Europapolitik

• Zeitenwende für die EU-Wirtschaftspolitik: mehr als ein Gedankenexperiment

Foundation for European Progressive Studies / Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung / Institut Emile Vandervelde / L’Observatoire français des conjoctures économiques

• Making Next Generation EU a permanent tool

Bruegel

• The potential of sovereign sustainability-linked bonds in the drive for net-zero

Employment / Social Policy / Health and Consumer Affairs

Bruegel

• Two crises, two continents: how the labour-market impacts have differed

Foundation for European Progressive Studies / UNI Global Union - Europa

• Back to the dark ages?: Q-commerce, rapid retail and the changing landscape of retail work

Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung

• Inequality in Europe: the consequences of pandemic and war

Fondation Robert Schuman

• Gender parity in Europe: a still imperfect model in the world

Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Technology as a driver of gender equality and peace

Centre for European Policy Studies

• Gendered migrant integration policies in the EU: are we moving towards delivery of equality, non-discrimination and inclusion?

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

• Pour un approvisionnement sûr en médicaments

Foundation for European Progressive Studies / TASC - Think-tank for Action on Social Change

• Is an EU-wide approach to the mental health crisis necessary?

Foundation for European Progressive Studies / Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung

• The European care strategy: a chance to ensure inclusive care for all?

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

• Housing and employment for post-2014 migrants: lessons from small and medium-sized towns and rural areas

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik

• Germany is looking for foreign labour: how to make recruitment development-orientated, sustainable and fair

Environmental Issues

Forum for research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies

• Exploring the impact from the Russian gas squeeze on the EU’s greenhouse gas reduction efforts

Ecologic Institute / German Environment Agency / Öko-Institut

• Certification of carbon dioxide removals: evaluation of the Commission proposal

Ecologic Institute / Öko-Institut

• Can current EU climate policy reliably achieve climate neutrality by 2050?: Post-2030 crunch issues for the move to a net zero economy

European Policy Centre

• Climate adaptation: the race to cool down Europe’s cities

Tænketanken EUROPA

• Kan EU’s Genopretningsfond leve op til de store forventninger?

Istituto Affari Internazionali

• A changing energy diplomacy: the external dimension of the REPowerEU Plan

Österreichische Gesellschaft für Europapolitik

• A permanent EU Investment Fund for tackling the climate and energy crisis

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

• The green, digital and social transitions: towards a new Eco-social pact

Център за изследване на демокрацията

• Solving the energy poverty and decarbonisation conundrum with carbon pricing

Real Instituto Elcano

• El “arancel al carbono (CBAM)”: ¿proteccionismo verde o liderazgo global contra el cambio climático?

Justice and Home Affairs

Fondation pour l'innovation politique

• Immigration : comment font les États européens

Център за изследване на демокрацията

• Illicit financial flows and disinformation in southeast Europe

Economic and Social Research Institute

• Comparing migrant integration in Ireland and Northern Ireland

Transport / Telecommunications / Energy

European Union Institute for Security Studies

• The power shift: the impact of the low-carbon transition on the oil and gas economy

Centre for European Reform

• Europe needs both fiscal and energy solidarity

Centre for European Policy Studies

• A digital connectivity masterplan for the global gateway

Bruegel

• Artificial intelligence adoption in the public sector: a case study

Corporate Europe Observatory

• Germany’s great hydrogen race: the corporate perpetuation of fossil fuels, energy colonialism and climate disaster

Център за изследване на демокрацията

• Reversing the trend: smart enforcement of the low-emission zone in Sofia, Bulgaria

Fondation Robert Schuman

• A return to grace for nuclear power in European public opinion? Some elements of a rapid paradigm shift

Bruegel

• Phased European Union electricity market reform

Centre for European Policy Studies

• In the time we have left, how can we realistically reform the EU’s electricity market?

Център за изследване на демокрацията

• The future of natural gas in southeast Europe: diversification and phaseout after the Russian invasion in Ukraine

Fondation pour l'innovation politique

• Souveraineté, maîtrise industrielle et transition énergétique. Transition énergétique, géopolitique et industrie : quel rôle pour l'État ?

Real Instituto Elcano

• Uranio: la otra cadena crítica de valor

Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada

• Comentarios sobre la reforma del mercado eléctrico

EU policies

Transport / Telecommunications / Energy

Bruegel

• How much will the EU pay Russia for fossil fuels over the next 12 months?

Foreign and security policy / Defence

The current state of affairs of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) and SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization: China, Russia, India, Pakistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan) is discussed as papers note that both have become a new pole of power in the world. On defence issues, papers analyse the prospects for meaningful arms control negotiations and their role in preserving strategic stability, as well as the viability of future European naval presence in the Indo-Pacific. The concept of a more geopolitical Europe is discussed, and as in recent years, a growing chorus of EU and national leaders have stressed the need for Europe to step up its geopolitical profile.

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• Countering hybrid threats: the role of the joint expeditionary force

Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

• Arms control and deterrence: the euromissiles, then and now

Vrije Universiteit Brussel - Institute for European Studies

• One step back, two steps forward: the EU, NATO and the emerging and disruptive technologies

Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

• Towards a sustainable and meaningful European naval presence in the Indo-Pacific region: a Southeast Asian perspective

Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

• The EU's naval presence in the Indo-Pacific: what is it worth?

European Union Institute for Security Studies

• European defence partnerships: stronger together

Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung

• No longer off the radar: NATO's enlargement to the north and its implications for the Baltic states

Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich

• Polarny kwartet NATO: USA, Kanada, Dania i Norwegia w Arktyce

Brussels School of Governance

• Europe’s geopolitical necessity

Österreichische Institut für Internationale Politik

• The third EU-NATO joint declaration (10 January 2023): was it worth the delay?

Institut français des relations internationales

• «Imaginer au-delà de l’imaginaire»: red teaming et serious games au service de l’anticipation et de la prospective

Instituto Español de Estudios Estratégicos

• Seguridad en Europa: más OTAN, ¿menos UE?

Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung

• Role of regional organizations and initiatives towards acceleration of the western Balkans' European integration

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• The EU in the South Caucasus: navigating a geopolitical labyrinth in turmoil

Chatham House

• Rethinking Western policy towards Belarus

European Centre for Development Policy Management

• The EU, geopolitics and human development: insights from Zambia, Kenya and Guinea

European Centre for Development Policy Management

• More than targets: how the EU promotes democracy, human rights and gender quality through global Europe and beyond

Institute for European Environmental Policy

• Post-FTA briefing: EU-New Zealand

Institute for European Environmental Policy

• Post-FTA briefing: EU-Chile

Institut pro Evropskou Politiku EUROPEUM

• The EU-Mercosur trade agreement, will it ever reach a green end?

Instituto Español de Estudios Estratégicos

• ¿Puede Marruecos convertirse en un proveedor energético para Europa?

Foreign Policy Institute / Johns Hopkins University SAIS / Transatlantic Leadership Network

• The Transatlantic economy 2023: annual survey of jobs, trade and investment between the United States and Europe

Institut français des relations internationales

• Systèmes alimentaires dans le Pacifique: relever les défis en coopération avec l’Europe

Institut Européen des Relations Internationales

• United States and NATO versus BRICS and SCO

European Council on Foreign Relations

• Opening the global gateway: why the EU should invest more in the southern neighbourhood

Real Instituto Elcano

• Una mirada hacia el futuro de las relaciones entre España y China

German Marshall Fund of the United States

• Europe’s delicate balancing act

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik

• South Korea's evolving Indo-Pacific strategy: opportunities and challenges for cooperation with the EU

Mercator Institute for China Studies

• China debates on the EU's geopolitical standing + European leaders' visits to Beijing

European Centre for Development Policy Management

• Gender equality in EU external action: leadership from the EU headquarters

Ulkopoliittinen instituutti

• Ideational trends in American grand strategy: future implications for Europe and Finland

European Council on Foreign Relations

• The politics of dialogue: how the EU can change the conversation in Kosovo and Serbia

Център за изследване на демокрацията

• Turning the tide: a policy agenda for re-engaging the Western Balkans

Österreichische Gesellschaft für Europapolitik

• Making the EU and member states policy towards the Western Balkans socio-economically more sustainable

Real Instituto Elcano

• ¿Por qué importa América Latina a la UE en energía?: Diversificación, compañeros de transición y nuevas cadenas de valor

Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung

• Zwischen Hype, Hoffnung und greifbaren Veränderungen: das Potential von grünem Wasserstoff für Namibia und Europa

Global affairs

While the world drives forward on a 'no new coal' concept, briefs comment on China taking a detour to the opposite direction. The prospect of US and China being on a collision course and the importance of their bilateral relationship for the future of the international order are discussed along with the ongoing US-China competition and the situation in the Indo-Pacific, including the intensified US-China confrontation over Taiwan. Think tanks also look at the transition towards a more sustainable world economy pointing out that research, development, and innovations are powerful tools to align the needs of a growing world population with the necessities of keeping global development within the planetary boundaries.

Center for Strategic and International Studies

• UK net zero-aligned financial centre: indicators for success

German Marshall Fund of the United States

• Whose “foreign agent” law? Georgians reject a Russian import

German Marshall Fund of the United States

• Building up the democratic potential of the new Russian emigrants

Group for Legal and Political Studies

• Russia’s increasing exploitation of fragile peace: from northern Kosovo region to global issues

Chatham House

• Russian nuclear intimidation: how Russia uses nuclear threats to shape Western responses to aggression

Istituto Affari Internazionali

• The food-energy nexus and Italy–Morocco cooperation

European Council on Foreign Relations

• Autumn of the patriarch: how to help Tunisians defend their democracy

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• Protests in Iran in comparative perspective: a revolutionary state in trouble

Institut français des relations internationales

• L’Arabie saoudite face à la compétition sino-américaine: la tentation du pivot de Mohammed bin Salman

Chatham House

• The Abraham accords and Israel–UAE normalization: shaping a new Middle East

Center for Strategic and International Studies

• World drives forward on no new coal but China takes a detour

Institut Montaigne

• China's diplomacy: a triumph of cost-benefit analysis

European Union Institute for Security Studies

• Footprints in the sand: China's and India's low-key but growing presence in the Maghreb

Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations

• China’s 14th National People’s Congress: no ordinary cups of tea

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel

• China as an international lender of last resort

Heinrich Böll Stiftung

• Watching the "Donors' Conference for the people of Turkey and Syria"

Istanbul Politikalar Merkezi

• Turkey's foreign policy in the eastern Mediterranean: peacemaking in Cyprus at a crossroads

Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma Vakfı

• Has there been a rapproachement between Turkey and the West after the invasion of Ukraine?

Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich

• The undeclared war: a new phase of the Azerbaijani-Armenian conflict

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik

• USA und China auf Kollisionskurs: die Bedeutung der Innenpolitik für das bilaterale Verhältnis

Bruegel

• Will China’s new financial regulatory reform be enough to meet the challenges?

Institut français des relations internationales

• The Sino-Russian partnership: assumptions, myths and realities

Instituto Español de Estudios Estratégicos

• La India, potencia global en ciernes y clave del Indopacífico (reedición)

United States Institute of Peace

• Where cryptocurrency, water and conflict collide: crypto mining’s immense demands on energy and water resources raise questions about its sustainability

German Marshall Fund of the United States

• The new American foreign policy of technology: promoting innovation, national security, and democratic values in a digital world

Real Instituto Elcano

• La caída del SVB: ¿son todos los bancos sistémicamente grandes?

Institut français des relations internationales

• Quel avenir pour le trumpisme?

Institut français des relations internationales

• Le national-conservatisme, quelle politique étrangère pour la « nouvelle droite » américaine ?

Chatham House

• Is non-alignment possible for Latin America?

German Institute of Development and Sustainability

• The sustainability transition requires extended and differentiated north-south cooperation for innovation

United States Institute of Peace

• Positivism for peace: reforming the international system

Observer Research Foundation

• Between general assembly debates and security council resolutions, finding coherence in the UN system

Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier

• Multilateral climate finance coordination: politics and depoliticization in practice

Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques

• Entre mesures extraterritoriales et lois de blocages, quel ordre économique mondial?

United States Institute of Peace

• The UN Security Council was designed for deadlock — can it change?

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