 |
The following GAIN reports were released on September 9, 2024. _______
On July 25, 2024, the Province of British Columbia announced additional temporary supports for B.C. wineries to support production of the 2024 vintage. These supports enable all B.C. wineries to produce a 2024 vintage using imported wine grapes, juice, and unfinished wines to supplement a short domestic wine grape crop. Originally, the temporary supports were linked to a 12-month sales period from April 1, 2025 to March 31, 2026. The support period has now been extended to a 36-month sales period from April 1, 2025 to March 31, 2028. This will enable wineries to have more flexibility to market the 2024 vintage and address concerns that the original period would have been detrimental for red wines and sparkling white wines which require a longer cellaring period.
For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/. The following GAIN reports were released on September 11, 2024. _______Australia: Livestock and Products AnnualIn 2024, Australian beef supply has surged and is projected to reach the second-highest production level on record in 2025. This anticipated expansion follows a major turning point in 2024, with production estimated to increase by 14 percent from 2023 and 34 percent from the 2022 low. This recovery is driven by strong U.S. demand amid its own cattle supply shortage, resulting in heightened exports and making the U.S. Australia’s largest beef export market. As a result, beef exports are expected to set a new record in 2025. Meanwhile, Australian pork production is forecast to grow by two percent in 2025, continuing the robust growth trend seen over the past four years. Despite stable projections for pork imports and exports in 2025, the U.S. has reestablished itself as Australia’s primary source of pork imports in the first half of 2024.
Ukraine: Tree Nuts AnnualPost forecasts Ukraine’s walnut production at 101,300 metric tons (MT) for marketing year (MY) 2024/25, a 4 percent decrease against MY2023/24. Household production continues to slide as old, non-productive trees are being chopped down. Post forecasts production areas for industrial growers to remain flat, as there is currently little appetite for long-term investments due to Russia's full-scale invasion. Post forecasts MY2024/25 exports will decrease by 9 percent as large ending stocks, which were predominantly amassed during MY2021/22, have been slowly depreciating for two consecutive MYs. At the same time, rebounding imports of tree nuts in line with economic recovery and adjustment to the “new normal” are putting downward pressure on volumes of domestically consumed walnuts. For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/. The following GAIN reports were released on September 10, 2024. _______Bulgaria: Smallest Sunflower Crop in a Decade to Severely Impact Bulgarian Crush and Product ExportsFAS/Sofia estimates a reduction in Bulgarian oilseeds crops in marketing year (MY) 2024/25 due to extremely hot and dry weather conditions in July and August. FAS/Sofia estimates the rapeseed crop at 190,000 metric tons (MT), down nine percent from last year and 36 percent from two years ago. This estimate is based on tentative harvest data which shows a decline in average yields. In MY 2023/24, Bulgaria was a net importer of rapeseed with growing trade driven by expanding domestic crush capacity, and this trend is projected to continue in MY 2024/25. The sunflower crop is estimated to fall to 1.7 million MT (MMT) in MY 2024/25, down four percent from last year and 21 percent from MY 2022/23. This fall is in contrast to earlier optimistic expectations in the spring due to higher planted area for sunflower this year. If realized, it will be the smallest sunflower crop in over a decade. These developments are forecast to result in a deficit of oilseeds, and a likely decline in oilseed exports and crush. Kazakhstan: Very Heavy Rains Cut Kazakh Production - Grain and Feed Voluntary UpdateBiblical rain in Kazakhstan’s major growing regions has cut wheat and barley production, reducing its quantity and quality. In the previous Kazakhstan Grain and Feed Report, Post warned that if the worst-case scenario of rains occurred during harvest, up to 10 to 15 percent of the barley and wheat crop could be lost. Post has revised the production estimate for wheat down from 15.8 MMT to 14.2 MMT and barley down from 3.4 MMT to 3.0 MMT, or 10 percent less than the August 20 estimate.
|
USDA E-Commerce Webinar
Please join the Agricultural Trade Office in Tokyo for a new
webinar: A Guide to the E-commerce Market in Japan.
This webinar will give you an opportunity to:
• Obtain background on the E-commerce sector in Japan
• Explore e-commerce F&B options and the best-positioned US products
• Learn about the different fulfillment patterns and services
• Understand the key regulatory and tariff issues related to e-commerce
• Confirm the basic requirements of marketing products online
Please register in advance with the link below and submit any questions you
have about this topic! A link for the webinar will be sent out after registration
is completed.
https://fas.usda.gov/sites/
The following GAIN reports were released on September 6, 2024.
_______
Canada: CPKC and CN Railway Employees Back to Work Following Government Intervention
Union workers at Canadian National (CN) Railway and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) returned to work August 23 and August 26, respectively, ending Canada's first ever strike involving both major rail lines, which began on August 22. As detailed in this report the actual strike days were not the only significant disruptions that the rail lines faced in July and August. The union has filed four separate appeals with the Federal Court of Appeal.
Kazakhstan: Central Asia - Exporter Guide
Central Asia is a diverse, important corner of the world and a growing market for U.S. goods. Agricultural imports from the world for Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, and Uzbekistan totaled $11.6 billion in 2023 and have nearly doubled over the last three years, with the United States as the 11th largest trade partner at $196 million. Between the five Central Asian countries – Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan – the entire region comprises about 80 million people and is projected to reach 100 million by 2050. Companies are encouraged to discover this unique region of the world, the United States' farthest market.
Thailand: Rice Price - Weekly
Rice export prices increased 1-6 percent from the previous week despite the weakening of the Thai baht against the U.S. dollar.
Ukraine: Minimum Export Prices for Selected Bulk Commodities by Ukraine
Ukraine introduced procedures for the approval of minimum export prices for selected bulk commodities, including grains, oilseeds, vegetable oils and meals, walnuts, and honey.
For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.
World Agricultural Production
Monthly report on crop acreage, yield and production in major countries worldwide. Sources include reporting from FAS’s worldwide offices, official statistics of foreign governments, and analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. The report reflects official USDA estimates released in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE).
- Current Report
- Past Reports (USDA Economics, Statistics and Market Information System)
Grain: World Markets and Trade
This monthly report includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in grains. Covers wheat, rice and coarse grains (corn, barley, sorghum, oats and rye).
- Current Report
- Past Reports (USDA Economics, Statistics and Market Information System)
Cotton: World Markets and Trade
This monthly report includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in cotton.
- Current Report
- Past Reports (USDA Economics, Statistics and Market Information System)
Oilseeds: World Markets and Trade
This monthly report includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in oilseeds. Covers oilseeds (copra, cottonseed, palm kernel, peanut, rapeseed, soybean and sunflower seed), meal (copra, cottonseed, fish, palm kernel, peanut, rapeseed, soybean and sunflower seed) and oil (coconut, cottonseed, olive, palm, palm kernel, peanut, rapeseed, soybean and sunflower seed).
- Current Report
- Past Reports (USDA Economics, Statistics and Market Information System)
The following GAIN reports were released on September 4, 2024.
_______
Egypt: Exporter Guide Annual
The exporter guide provides an economic and market overview, as well as demographic trends and practical tips for U.S. exporters on how to conduct business in Egypt. The report further describes three market sectors (food retail, food service, and food processing), recommendations for market entry, and recommendations for high-value product prospects - focusing on consumer-oriented products.
Israel: Exporter Guide
The Exporter Guide provides an economic and market overview, as well as demographic trends and practical tips for U.S. exporters on how to conduct business in Israel. The report further describes three market sectors (food retail, food service, and food processing), recommendations for market entry, and recommendations for high-value product prospects, focusing on consumer-oriented products.
Japan: Poultry and Products Annual
FAS/Tokyo projects that in 2024 as well as 2025 Japan’s annual poultry production will expand to meet strong demand for domestically produced chicken. The depreciated yen as well as general inflation are driving consumers and food service businesses to seek domestic suppliers of poultry meat as a cheaper source of animal proteins. As a result, FAS/Tokyo expects Japan’s 2025 imports will remain flat from 2024.
Mexico: Poultry and Products Annual
Mexico is the sixth largest poultry producer and fifth largest consumer globally. In 2025 production is forecast to grow as higher private investments in poultry sector and improved feed prices are expected to boost industry-wide productivity. Poultry consumption is forecast to increase due to more moderate inflation. Imports are expected to remain unchanged, constrained by more domestic availability and a weaker forecast Mexican Peso. Although Mexico is a marginal poultry exporter, increased access to Central American retail markets is expected to drive up exports.
Senegal: Cotton and Products Update
MY2024/25 cotton area harvested for Mali, Senegal, and Burkina Faso is forecast at a combined 1.2 million HA, a one percent increase from the previous MY. A late start of the rainy season delayed planting in all three countries, and insecurity in Burkina Faso continues to prevent planting in many areas. MY2024/25 combined cotton production is forecast flat at 2.1 million bales. MY2024/25 exports and stocks are forecast at 2.1 million bales and 220,000 bales while consumption is expected to increase four percent at 52,000 bales. All three countries are reopening their textile industries, though Senegal lags behind Mali and Burkina Faso and is not expected to utilize any domestic cotton in textile production this year.
South Africa: Poultry and Products Annual
Post forecasts that chicken meat production will increase by three percent to 1.65 million tons in Marketing Year (MY) 2025 as a result of a strengthening domestic sector. Post raises the 2024 production estimate by 6 percent to 1.59 million tons as the industry has rebounded from the 2023 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) outbreak. Post forecasts decreasing food inflation and softening poultry prices will boost South Africa’s domestic consumption of chicken meat, which is expected to increase by two percent to 1.88 million tons in 2025. Post revises imports downwards to 320,000 tons and forecasts that imports will decrease by a further six percent in 2025 to 300,000 tons, continuing the downward trend.
Thailand: Poultry and Products Annual
FAS Bangkok (Post) expects chicken meat production to increase slightly in 2024 due to limited supplies of day-old chicks and the slow recovery in domestic consumption amid strong export demand. Post forecasts chicken meat production to increase 2.6 percent in 2025, driven by attractive returns and strong export demand.
Turkiye: Poultry and Products Annual
Chicken meat production for 2025 is forecast to hit a record after a below average performance the previous year. Most of the anticipated increase in production will go for domestic consumption, which continues to grow since chicken is expected to remain significantly cheaper than beef. With the Turkish government’s export quota scheduled to end in December of 2024, exports in 2025 are projected to partially rebound. Iraq is expected to remain the country’s largest export market.
United Arab Emirates: Poultry and Products Annual
The UAE’s chicken meat production is forecast to grow by 17 percent in 2025, supported by governmental initiatives such as feed subsidies and technological investments. Consumption is expected to rise by 6 percent due to population growth, increased consumer spending, and a thriving tourism sector. Imports will see a 4 percent increase with a significant surge in poultry purchases in early 2024, driven by regional geopolitical instability. Shipping disruptions in the Suez Canal, forcing shippers to reroute around the Cape of Good Hope, add further instability to trade dynamics.
For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.
