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Κυριακή 14 Σεπτεμβρίου 2025

USDA Foreign Agricultural Service,update

 

Grain: World Markets and Trade

This monthly report includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in grains. Covers wheat, rice and coarse grains (corn, barley, sorghum, oats and rye).

World Agricultural Production

Monthly report on crop acreage, yield and production in major countries worldwide. Sources include reporting from FAS’s worldwide offices, official statistics of foreign governments,  and analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. The report reflects official USDA estimates released in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE). 

Cotton: World Markets and Trade

This monthly report includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in cotton.

 

Oilseeds: World Markets and Trade

This monthly report includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in oilseeds. Covers oilseeds (copra, cottonseed, palm kernel, peanut, rapeseed, soybean and sunflower seed), meal (copra, cottonseed, fish, palm kernel, peanut, rapeseed, soybean and sunflower seed) and oil (coconut, cottonseed, olive, palm, palm kernel, peanut, rapeseed, soybean and sunflower seed).

The following GAIN reports were released on September 11, 2025.


Extremely hot and dry summer weather had a severe and negative impact on the Bulgarian corn crop. As a result, FAS/Sofia revised its production estimate down to 1.5 million metric tons (MMT), its lowest level since 2009, allowing for potential adjustments as the harvest progresses. The sharply reduced crop in marketing year (MY) 2025/26, along with expected lower beginning stocks, will result in a smaller domestic supply and market deficit. At the same time, growing domestic demand for corn processing for food use (starch), expanding bioethanol capacities, and increasing feed demand by the poultry and swine industries may lead to higher import needs. Bulgaria is anticipated to import more corn in MY 2025/26 than the previous year, with estimates at or more than 500,000 MT. Conversely, MY 2025/26 wheat and barley crops estimates were revised upward to 7.33 MT and 1.13 MMT, respectively, due to excellent harvests.

For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.

Expanding U.S. Agricultural Exports to Indonesia

In 2024, Indonesia was the 11th-largest market for U.S. agricultural exports, valued at $2.9 billion. In July 2025, President Donald J. Trump announced a landmark trade deal with Indonesia that would expand U.S. businesses’ access to markets in Indonesia and has the potential to facilitate substantial expansion for U.S. agricultural exports. The United States was the fourth-largest supplier of agricultural products to Indonesia in 2024, accounting for 10 percent of Indonesia’s import market, following Brazil, China, and Australia. 

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The following GAIN reports were released on September 5, 2025.


Angola: Poultry and Products Annual

Post forecasts 2026 chicken meat imports to grow modestly by 4 percent to 270,000 metric tons, reflecting a gradual recovery amid easing currency pressures and stable demand. Angola’s poultry sector is projected to grow, with domestic production rising 9 percent to 60,000 metric tons thanks to investments boosting local supply. Despite challenges such as limited feed and infrastructure, local production is gaining ground because importing chicken strains currency reserves. Consumption is expected to increase by 5 percent, supported by improved purchasing power from wage hikes and falling inflation.

 

Canada: Poultry and Products Annual

Chicken meat production is forecast one percent higher in 2026, based on stable demand, adequate domestic supply, and steady imports. The overall 2026 import TRQ volumes will approach 121,600 metric tons, with the United States expected to maintain more than 80 percent share of total Canadian chicken meat imports. In 2025, as the only country taking advantage of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) poultry tariff rate quota (TRQ) and as a new emerging supplier, Chile continued to gain import market share, a trend expected to continue into 2026.

 

China: Livestock and Products Annual

Post forecasts stable pork production in 2026 and reduced pork imports due to abundant domestic supplies. Post anticipates lower beef production and slightly higher imports to meet demand in price-sensitive segments. Retaliatory tariffs and unresolved facility registration issues continue to limit U.S. meat access to the Chinese market.

 

Japan: Livestock and Products Annual

Japan’s beef industry faces challenges in 2026 as the domestic cattle herd declines, resulting in reduced slaughter and inventory. Rising beef prices, outpacing income growth, weaken consumer demand, making beef less accessible. Fast-food chains may benefit, but other sectors will struggle. Beef imports may rise slightly to offset stagnant production but remain limited due to weak demand, depreciation of the yen, and high costs. Meanwhile, Japan’s pork market remains resilient, with stable swine inventory and strong consumption driven by affordability. Pork imports, which slowed in late 2025, are expected to rebound in 2026 to meet demand. The United States is the largest supplier of imported pork to Japan, as well as the second largest for beef.

 

South Africa: Poultry and Products Annual

FAS Pretoria forecasts a two percent increase in chicken meat production, reaching 1.68 million tons in Marketing Year (MY) 2026 (January to December 2026). This growth is driven by lower feed prices following the recovery of the local grains harvest in MY 2025/2026. FAS Pretoria estimates a four percent rise in chicken meat production for MY 2025, reflecting full recovery from the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza outbreak that severely impacted the industry in 2023. FAS Pretoria forecasts that chicken meat consumption will increase marginally to 1.92 million tons in 2026, driven by higher supplies that are expected to ease prices. FAS Pretoria forecasts that South Africa’s poultry imports will decrease by five percent to 308,000 tons in 2026, driven by protectionist policies including anti-dumping duties and high tariffs that limit the competitiveness and market access of imported poultry.

 

Ukraine: Wine Market Overview

The United States was one of the smallest new world suppliers to Ukraine in 2024; however, it has been the fastest growing, doubling its market share in the last decade. After a significant drop in 2022 due to the start of the Russia-Ukraine war, Ukraine’s wine market strongly recovered in 2023 and 2024 and continued its growth in 2025. U.S. wine exports exceeded $1.1 million in 2024 and grew by 40 percent in the first five months of 2025. Industry notes per capita consumption is growing in Ukraine.

 

United Arab Emirates: Poultry and Products Annual

Chicken meat production in the UAE is projected to rise steadily, reaching 75,000 metric tons (MT) by 2026, supported by government feed subsidies, new large-scale poultry operations, and investments in agricultural technology. However, domestic output will continue to meet only about 15 percent of consumption, leaving the country heavily dependent on imports (forecast at 410,000 MT for 2026). Consumption growth, estimated at 480,000 MT by 2026, will be driven by population gains, real estate expansion, tourism, and a burgeoning gross domestic product.

 

 

For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.

The following GAIN reports were released on September 10, 2025.

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China’s chicken meat production and consumption will grow modestly in 2026, though market saturation from 2025 is likely to persist for some time.. Imports remain limited by HPAI-related restrictions on Brazil and parts of the United States, as well as retaliatory tariffs. U.S. chicken paws continue to hold a niche market, though growth is constrained by inspection delays and other non-tariff measures.
Uruguayan beef exports in 2026 are forecast at 520,000 tons carcass weight equivalent (CWE), the second-highest level on record. Rising output, including a growing share of grain-fed beef, underpins the increase as imports and domestic consumption remain steady. The United States is set to overtake China as Uruguay’s top market, fueled by firm demand and strong FOB prices, while China’s dominance continues to erode after more than a decade at the top. The industry is also keeping a close watch on potential ripple effects from the U.S.-Brazil trade dispute.

 

 

For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.


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